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+--- Thread: What are your predictions on BTC? (/showthread.php?tid=6317587)
What are your predictions on BTC? - James Burnham - Jan 11, 2026
Where do you think it will go the following months?
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - James Burnham - Jan 19, 2026
Does this hold any water? https://www.forbes.com/sites/digital-assets/2026/01/09/goldman-sachs-just-issued-a-huge-2026-crypto-forecast-as-200000-bitcoin-price-predicted/
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Omniscient - Jan 19, 2026
Sideways action within 25% of $100k. Just a lot of up and down and up and down.
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Yanix - Jan 20, 2026
Hopefully the next few months will be better and bring more good days.
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Costanza - Jan 20, 2026
20-30k this year sometime and tbh i cannot wait.
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Mewtwo - Jan 20, 2026
(Jan 20, 2026 06:20 AM)Costanza Wrote: 20-30k this year sometime and tbh i cannot wait.
if it will go this low, why do you have 1.5 BTC? Or even crypto? Just tether it lol
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Costanza - Jan 20, 2026
(Jan 20, 2026 07:01 AM)Mewtwo Wrote: if it will go this low, why do you have 1.5 BTC? Or even crypto? Just tether it lol
Have few hundred k in USDC ready to deploy. just covering all bases. if btc pumps i'm set and if it dumps ill buy a lot.
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Mewtwo - Jan 20, 2026
(Jan 20, 2026 09:00 AM)Costanza Wrote: Have few hundred k in USDC ready to deploy. just covering all bases. if btc pumps i'm set and if it dumps ill buy a lot.
What about the tax implications behind all this though? Since it’s almost like a short term gamble. Taxes are so much higher just swing trading like this
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Hackers - Jan 20, 2026
Same as I've been saying on HF for over a year (and longer elsewhere)
We'll likely see 60-70k, or 70-80k as more plausible / optimistic, and we'll likely see the next push into the 150-160 range, with a massive ATH in the future (years) for 360-430K.
I thought we'd see 112K as a top instead of 120-125 so I am treating my 60-70k prediction as lower as well for 70-80k.
However, Murphy's Law. If my 112 became over 120, then surely my 60 will be 50 haha!
All in all, not stressed, and I have stuck to my word. I am not buying Bitcoin in bulk. I will buy in the 70s to restock
I am effectively shorting Bitcoin for many months now by not buying. I am a little salty that I got accused of AI a few months ago because I said the same shit in January & February 2025, and am saying it again now. I've had a prediction of 360-430K top for 8 years now and counting.
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Costanza - Jan 20, 2026
(Jan 20, 2026 10:32 AM)Mewtwo Wrote: What about the tax implications behind all this though? Since it’s almost like a short term gamble. Taxes are so much higher just swing trading like this
Only get taxed when you cashout mate the fuck are you spewing lol
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Mewtwo - Jan 20, 2026
(Jan 20, 2026 11:38 AM)Costanza Wrote: Only get taxed when you cashout mate the fuck are you spewing lol
WRONG!
You’re going to owe ALOT of taxes soon lol
AI Quote:
Yes. Crypto-to-crypto trades are taxable in the U.S. — including BTC → USDT, BTC → ETH, ETH → SOL, etc.
Here’s the clear breakdown 👇
⸻
🔹 Is BTC → USDT taxable?
Yes.
The IRS treats this as selling BTC and then buying USDT.
That means:
• You realize a capital gain or loss on the BTC at the moment you trade it.
• It does not matter that you stayed “inside crypto.”
• Stablecoins like USDT are treated like property, not cash.
⸻
🔹 How the gain is calculated
Gain/Loss = Value of BTC at trade − Your BTC cost basis
Example:
• You bought BTC at $30,000
• You trade it for USDT when BTC is $45,000
👉 Taxable gain = $15,000
Even though you never touched USD.
⸻
🔹 Short-term vs Long-term
• Held < 1 year → Short-term capital gains
• Taxed as ordinary income (same as your paycheck)
• Held ≥ 1 year → Long-term capital gains
• Typically 0% / 15% / 20%, depending on income
⸻
🔹 What is NOT taxable
✅ Transferring crypto between your own wallets
✅ Holding crypto (no sale)
✅ Buying crypto with USD (no sale yet)
⸻
🔹 What IS taxable
❌ BTC → USDT
❌ BTC → ETH
❌ USDT → USD
❌ Paying for something with crypto
❌ Earning crypto (staking, mining, airdrops, rewards)
⸻
🔹 Do exchanges report this?
• Yes, many U.S. exchanges issue 1099 forms
• Even if they don’t, you are still legally required to report
• Blockchain ≠ anonymous for taxes
⸻
🔹 Common misconception (important)
“I didn’t cash out, so it’s not taxable”
❌ False
The IRS considers any disposal of crypto a taxable event.
⸻
🔹 Practical tip
If you trade often:
• Use tools like CoinTracker, Koinly, or Accointing
• They track cost basis automatically and generate tax forms
⸻
If you want, tell me:
• How long you held the BTC
• Rough gain amount
• Your income range
And I can estimate exact tax owed for your situation.
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Costanza - Jan 20, 2026
(Jan 20, 2026 12:57 PM)Mewtwo Wrote: WRONG!
You’re going to owe ALOT of taxes soon lol
AI Quote:
Yes. Crypto-to-crypto trades are taxable in the U.S. — including BTC → USDT, BTC → ETH, ETH → SOL, etc.
Here’s the clear breakdown 👇
⸻
🔹 Is BTC → USDT taxable?
Yes.
The IRS treats this as selling BTC and then buying USDT.
That means:
• You realize a capital gain or loss on the BTC at the moment you trade it.
• It does not matter that you stayed “inside crypto.”
• Stablecoins like USDT are treated like property, not cash.
⸻
🔹 How the gain is calculated
Gain/Loss = Value of BTC at trade − Your BTC cost basis
Example:
• You bought BTC at $30,000
• You trade it for USDT when BTC is $45,000
👉 Taxable gain = $15,000
Even though you never touched USD.
⸻
🔹 Short-term vs Long-term
• Held < 1 year → Short-term capital gains
• Taxed as ordinary income (same as your paycheck)
• Held ≥ 1 year → Long-term capital gains
• Typically 0% / 15% / 20%, depending on income
⸻
🔹 What is NOT taxable
✅ Transferring crypto between your own wallets
✅ Holding crypto (no sale)
✅ Buying crypto with USD (no sale yet)
⸻
🔹 What IS taxable
❌ BTC → USDT
❌ BTC → ETH
❌ USDT → USD
❌ Paying for something with crypto
❌ Earning crypto (staking, mining, airdrops, rewards)
⸻
🔹 Do exchanges report this?
• Yes, many U.S. exchanges issue 1099 forms
• Even if they don’t, you are still legally required to report
• Blockchain ≠ anonymous for taxes
⸻
🔹 Common misconception (important)
“I didn’t cash out, so it’s not taxable”
❌ False
The IRS considers any disposal of crypto a taxable event.
⸻
🔹 Practical tip
If you trade often:
• Use tools like CoinTracker, Koinly, or Accointing
• They track cost basis automatically and generate tax forms
⸻
If you want, tell me:
• How long you held the BTC
• Rough gain amount
• Your income range
And I can estimate exact tax owed for your situation.
Not from america bud. try again.
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Mewtwo - Jan 29, 2026
(Jan 19, 2026 01:31 PM)Omniscient Wrote: Sideways action within 25% of $100k. Just a lot of up and down and up and down.
Looks like it’s really heading that direction. We’re close to 75k. I wonder the reason for the dumps are for this time.
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Yin Yang - Jan 30, 2026
Maybe as low as 70 and high of 95
I do sort of agree with this:
RE: What are your predictions on BTC? - Bovril Coin - Jan 30, 2026
is MTgox still selling off? no idea why BTC isnt joining the ATH team of gold and silver