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+--- Thread: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation (/showthread.php?tid=6320860)
Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Omniscient - Feb 28, 2026
![[Image: FbY8pBU.png]](https://i.imgur.com/FbY8pBU.png)
https://polymarket.com/event/nuclear-weapon-detonation-by-562
Yes before 2027 is 20 cents.
I'm thinking of making this my very first Polymarket contract.
May even do a March 31st for 8 cents. $100 is worth $1200.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - IRLCash - Feb 28, 2026
So if you put in $100 and you're right, you get $1,200? I'd say that's worth it.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Derrick420 - Feb 28, 2026
I saw this, looked at the some of the comments and came across this:
https://x.com/comecarpentier/status/2011846872957325770?s=46&t=jUJNyU9aaCv38DjQzUEZrw
is that a win then for the Yes? That is if Isreal ever admitted to testing.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Mewtwo - Feb 28, 2026
I think Russia is going to be the first to start it again. Either them or the USA. A new Cold War. They didn’t sign a new treaty based off this.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - IRLCash - Feb 28, 2026
(Feb 28, 2026 03:17 PM)Mewtwo Wrote: I think Russia is going to be the first to start it again. Either them or the USA. A new Cold War. They didn’t sign a new treaty based off this.
Russia can't even finish a war with Ukraine though. It's been years and they're still at it.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - webdev77 - Feb 28, 2026
Even a no for March 31 is 6% return in a month. Not a bad bet considering that's 72% annualized.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Omniscient - Mar 1, 2026
24% now for before 2027
I'm doing it. Because it includes testing. I think at least some flexing by somebody is going to cause a test.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Omniscient - Mar 1, 2026
Price now 26 cents for YES on Before 2027.
I'm in for $50. First time using Polymarket.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - IRLCash - Mar 1, 2026
(Mar 1, 2026 10:35 AM)Omniscient Wrote: 24% now for before 2027
I'm doing it. Because it includes testing. I think at least some flexing by somebody is going to cause a test.
Sounds like a good bet, I hope you make some money on this.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Omniscient - Mar 2, 2026
Down to 17 cents. May buy more.
Some speculation that Israel might nuke Iran.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Omniscient - Mar 3, 2026
Rumor on X, true or not?
Yes, is 24 cents now.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Pοιsonlεaf - Mar 3, 2026
To be honest. I'm quite sad polymarket is 'banned' in the EU (or atleast my country)£
NGL betting on these things is wild!
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Kaleb - Mar 3, 2026
(Feb 28, 2026 01:09 PM)Omniscient Wrote:
https://polymarket.com/event/nuclear-weapon-detonation-by-562
Yes before 2027 is 20 cents.
I'm thinking of making this my very first Polymarket contract.
May even do a March 31st for 8 cents. $100 is worth $1200.
As in you think yes a nuclear weapon will be used? Where?
I don't know enough about modern weaponry and stuff to know what they're going to count as a nuclear weapon but I can't imagine we'll ever see a fat man style nuclear warhead detonated again but maybe.
Oh I see it says Geopolitics -> Ukraine. If it has to be in Ukraine and not just anywhere in the world I'd be even more certain that won't happen. Unless its just AN atomic weapon of SOME sort then maybe IDK but they are not dropping a full on fat boy style Nagasaki boom mushroom cloud devastator IMO.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - SUI-3183372 - Mar 3, 2026
(Mar 3, 2026 11:01 AM)Pοιsonlεaf Wrote: To be honest. I'm quite sad polymarket is 'banned' in the EU (or atleast my country)£
NGL betting on these things is wild!
Polymarket does no KYC nor does it attempt to geolock your account. Connect via a VPN and you're entirely unblocked, no pitfalls or hurdles to look out for.
(Mar 3, 2026 11:03 AM)Kaleb Wrote: As in you think yes a nuclear weapon will be used? Where?
I don't know enough about modern weaponry and stuff to know what they're going to count as a nuclear weapon but I can't imagine we'll ever see a fat man style nuclear warhead detonated again but maybe.
Oh I see it says Geopolitics -> Ukraine. If it has to be in Ukraine and not just anywhere in the world I'd be even more certain that won't happen. Unless its just AN atomic weapon of SOME sort then maybe IDK but they are not dropping a full on fat boy style Nagasaki boom mushroom cloud devastator IMO.
The Ukraine tag is misleading, this specific event is global (what's larger than global, universal?).
If a nuclear weapon is detonated, either through an act of war, as a test, or simply by accident, this market resolves to yes.
It doesn't matter where the nuclear weapon is detonated, it can be in any country, it can be under the sea, it can even be in outer space, and the market will resolve to yes.
It cannot be a dirty bomb or a lower quality detonation that, as a byproduct, pushes out radioactive material. It has to be a legitimate nuclear device.
RE: Polymarket Nuclear Detonation - Pοιsonlεaf - Mar 3, 2026
(Mar 3, 2026 11:17 AM)SUI-3183372 Wrote: Polymarket does no KYC nor does it attempt to geolock your account. Connect via a VPN and you're entirely unblocked, no pitfalls or hurdles to look out for.
Yeah, I figures that much just not THAT curious (yet) to start up a VPN to check it out.