Good won on
Al Raed - Al Ittihad
Al Raed - Al Ittihad
GOLDEN BET || REAL RESULTS || BETTING SERVICES ||PROFITS EVERY MONTH || PROOF |
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I have been following the tips , I must sincerely appreciate the good predictions.
I think 80-90% of his tips win and I do feel others should also give a try. Nice job bro! I am satisfied!
Jan 22, 2022 11:13 AM
(This post was last modified: Jan 22, 2022 11:15 AM by cristiano442.
Edit Reason: Forgot to add an image
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I bought the service on 20 January and used it until today. Using the tips provided by the seller and betting the amounts suggested, my betting balance was reduced by $522. I do not recommend the service based on several things:
1. Most if not all the bets are over/under 2.5 goals with an added martingale strategy (stop if win and double if loss) 2. The win rate is 50-60% every month. (based on his tracking) 3. The monthly profits are ok because of some 800, 1000, or 2000$ bets. (check every month for large bets and profits made that month) Draw your conclusion but in the long term, this kind of betting strategy isn't profitable. Quote:I bought the service on 20 January and used it until today. Using the tips provided by the seller and betting the amounts suggested, my betting balance was reduced by $522. I do not recommend the service based on several things:
Let me break down your gameplay. I'll go month by month (excluding January and using your spreadsheet).
In December you made a $1477 monthly profit but on the spreadsheet are two large size bets - a $1000 bet (loss) and a $2000 bet ( $2400 win). Besides the fact that someone has to have $3000, that $2400 win was reduced by the rest of the bets. In November you made $1507 monthly profit but on the spreadsheet are two large size bets - an $800 bet ($808 win) and a $1000 bet ( $80 win). The rest of the bets are just a risk. In October you made $2000 monthly profit but on the spreadsheet are five large size bets, all winners ($5400 in total). You lost the rest in other small size bets. September was your best month. $1750 made from relatively small bets. August - $1800 monthly profit, $1800 profit from big bets. The rest of the bets were an unnecessary risk. July - $1025 monthly profit, $2780 profit from big bets. Loss on the rest of the bets. Even if you bet smaller (10-50%), the risk-reward ratio is wrong (might as well bet on dice or roulette). You get the gist. I'm not a bad guy so let me tell you how you can improve this. Find a partner who knows how to bet on sports so you can have a small losing streak. You can be the guy focused on strategy (set a max to lose streak based on every client bankroll so you can set every bet based on units, not $; research kelly's criterion and find that edge for bigger clients). You have to realize that your clients don't have that big bankroll to bet 3k on two matches, most of them are normal people with a few hundred to spare on an easy money scheme. Have a good day! (Jan 23, 2022 08:48 AM)cristiano442 Wrote: Let me break down your gameplay. I'll go month by month (excluding January and using your spreadsheet). OP is a really nice guy and you can make money from this tips, I followed for some months, but it's risky as fuck. I can confirm what you're saying, almost all months profits comes from 1-2 big bets. Besides that, the biggest problem of the tips are that sometimes you can find the odds OP posts. Many 400 and 800 bets that are used to recover the previous losses are 1.60 odds meanwhile OP says they're 1.80/1.90, which makes them unprofitable and you lose money. Quote:Even if you bet smaller (10-50%), the risk-reward ratio is wrong (might as well bet on dice or roulette). You get the gist. I'm not a bad guy so let me tell you how you can improve this. Find a partner who knows how to bet on sports so you can have a small losing streak. You can be the guy focused on strategy (set a max to lose streak based on every client bankroll so you can set every bet based on units, not $; research kelly's criterion and find that edge for bigger clients). You have to realize that your clients don't have that big bankroll to bet 3k on two matches, most of them are normal people with a few hundred to spare on an easy money scheme. Have a good day! thanks for the idea, it's not a bad thing but my service is focused on sharing my bets with my personal strategy, for just $1 a day, that's it. I don't deal with the money management of every users for a simple fact, users join my service during a whole month so each user will have a different starting budget but also a different profits margin or loss already made, so it's not possible to say "bet 20% of your starting wallet on those 3 matches" for example because some users may not have that amount available at the moment or others may be able to bet more to scale. So,using the starting amount can't work, using the actual amount doesn't work too, since when you lose a bet your 10% stake for example is less than your previous 10% for the math, this will lead in the long term to lose money even winning games and it is not acceptable. The other option is plain staking the same amount on all matches, is it a good idea? If you backtest this option versus my strategy you will see that it's always way less profitable than mine. I can make some example to show you what I mean. With an average odds of 1.85 and a 50% win ratio and 100 matches made, we can say 50 won and 50 loss so, plain betting same amount, for example $50 will end the month in loss with $2125 made and $2500 lost so $ - 375 net loss. Using my strategy with same 50% win ratio you will end the month winning 50 bets and loosing 50, since you compensated the loss doubling you have a net win of $2125. You may say that plain betting is not good because win ratio is too low, and that's correct but there is only one case where it is as good as my strategy, and that's when you have 100% win ratio, that is clearly impossible. now I want to show what happens if you improve win ratio, that is one thing that you may think it is the issue. We counted with 50% win ratio and saw that plain staking wasn't profitable, if you backtest using a 60% win ratio on 100 bets with a $50 on each we will have 60 won and 40 lost, with the same average odds of 1.85 you will get: $2550 won and $2000 lost that's $550 net earned. using my strategy you will get $2550 net. the difference here is so big to not be worth to use a "safer method" that's always less profitable https://onedrive.live.com/view.aspx?resi...T_hIO2fFxs this is last September for example here is super simple to see that 62%win ratio 43 won 32 lost $1750 made with plain betting same bets you will get $475 is it worth? I don't think so, even betting $100 on each will close the month with $950. in the end I think that of course everything can be improved and tailored for the needing of each user, but this need to be done user side eventually. it's not possible for me to manage each wallet of each user. thanks for your feedback anyway and wish you a nice day✌ |
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