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Good entry points from yesterday - More about my MNT/Mantle buy strat & range TA

If you have seen my other threads from yesterday, you will know that I buy in for predicted ranges rather than specific prices and dates.
For example, I do not attempt to time the bottom, or time the perfect selling price at the top.
I keep cash in reserve, and keep assets in the markets towards the top, but I always have a plan to buy or sell as things move up & down.

For example, I bought in yesterday but kept some cash out of the market in case it dropped further.
This isn't 100% efficient for maximized profits - I could have lump summed in. However, this wouldn't be good if it the markets did drop and i had less cash to buy in at the lower support line.

Similarly, if assets hit a high target, I usually have a RANGE that I am willing to sell at. This means i might not maximize profits if i start selling early, but I can also avoid the risks of trying to time the top... For example if I sell "early" in one cycle, then in another cycle I may actually sell at the high and avoid a crash. My point is that it's not realistic to time the bottom or top perfectly, and too many people attempt to. I do not attempt to. I purposefully am willing to buy too early or sell to early, or too late in any scenario, depending on current TA and long-term TA. It's a range, or what I call a "channel".

For example, I put the BTC channel high at 380-430K or so for the next major cycle.
What this means is that I will look for times to sell as we approach 380, and I won't care if it goes to 430.
Similarly, if I see a support line at 70-90k channel, I will start buying more as it approaches 90k and below rather than trying to time the bottom perfectly, and possibly missing it.

This strat works for me.

My other rule: Don't invest or bet what you cannot lose. If I lost 100% of my buys yesterday it wouldn't affect my life. This allows me to not care if the markets tank 50% on Monday or not. Long term investing wins.

This is isolated to only yesterday's buys:

[Image: b1k5JX8.png]
- % on the right side is realized returns. I took a hit on fees/set values here, putting me at a few % loss on each to start yesterday. Never nice to look at (all buys are at a loss upfront on some platforms), but if not taken upfront, there are always fees taken elsewhere.

Obviously my best tip from yesterday was MNT/Mantle. The rest are seeing normal recovery rates based on BTC/ETH, whereas the MNT pump is pulling away. The reason I chose MNT as a buy yesterday was because it had already shown this strength.

When an alt coin breaks away from trends, watch closely. For example, MNT pumped to the $2.5+ range pretty quickly in the past weeks. So, when crypto took a hit this weekend, MNT did tank hard, but it technically didn't lose much of the value it had before it's mini bull run. When an asset goes on a bull run and then pulls back because of overall market sentiment, there is always a good chance that it recovers quicker than others. This is what we see today. I am always looking for the gems like Mantle, but they are not always so easy to find.

I don't know much about MNT overall - admittedly - but the TA was very clear to me. $1.5-1.7 felt like a good buy, but I couldn't risk waiting for 1.5. I bought in at 1.7 and saw drops to 1.5-6 range. Now we see the pump. It doesn't always work out like this, and I am not boasting or anything. I just hope that if people read my thoughts on how I invest, they may be able to replicate.
Don't time the market. Spend time in the market instead. Know the difference! Buy & sell ranges. Don't try to be a hero.

https://hackforums.net/showthread.php?tid=6310845
My only concern with Mantle is the size of their treasury / team token allocation. I'm not aware of what their vesting/unlock schedule is, but if they choose to they can introduce a massive amount of downward pressure and suppress price action if they're looking to offload MNT for any reason. This isn't unique to Mantle by any means, I've bought coins with similar treasury set ups, just something to be mindful of.
(Oct 12, 2025 12:43 PM)SUI-3183372 Wrote:  My only concern with Mantle is the size of their treasury / team token allocation. I'm not aware of what their vesting/unlock schedule is, but if they choose to they can introduce a massive amount of downward pressure and suppress price action if they're looking to offload MNT for any reason. This isn't unique to Mantle by any means, I've bought coins with similar treasury set ups, just something to be mindful of.

MNT/Mantle is kind of a breakaway from my usual investment strat of long-term industry predictions*, and it was more about the current TA. I usually try to combine both, but lean more towards 5-10 year industry predictions rather than specific stock/token picks. In this case it was purely based on the current TA & *not a long-term bet. Whereas with something like Sui, I'll sell in 10+ years, I don't imagine I'll hold Mantle unless I see new reasons to.

Thank you for this, I'll take a look. I haven't looked into this yet and that's obviously a risk.

Here's a Kraken write-up on risk analysis for MNT... I can't just trust Kraken, but I will need to dig into this more, later - to figure out how I feel about Mantle treasury specifically.
https://assets-cms.kraken.com/files/51n3...a709fc.pdf


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